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You see cocoa future price is trading around 7,500~7,800 last week and in coming weeks amid of weak demand. This is due to US Tariff imposed across the board. US Tariff is now in US Supreme court where there is a legal sue by a US buyers claimed that US Tariff is illegal. They filed this sue in US International Trade Court and they won. US AG appealed to US Court of Appeal. US Court of Appeal denied them and uphold the former court decision. US AG now appealed to US Supreme Court. It is now pending on US Supreme Court review.
Trump administration is now know they are going to loose the case. Recently, US postponed another 90 days the implementation of new Tariffs on China. Thats the 3rd time this year. And US is now looking ways to get impose restrictions knowing they will loose their case. US is now looking ways how to apply restrictions to oversea suppliers/manufacturers on more specific products, mainly semiconductors, steels and etc.
Cocoa supplies remain tight until at the end of these year.
GCB already know this. Thats why they invest and expand their business in Indonesia, Ivory Coast and even in EU. They are now not only grind cocoa beans. They also produce cocoa butter and high value cocoa powder for chocolates for world market.
GCB gets financial assistance from local institutions. Any US Fed rate changes has no effects on their loans. And market is expecting US Fed to cut their rate this month.
Susah mau cakap bro... macam2 bleh jadi.. Tp sejak 7 hari berdagang, jumlah volume bertukar tangan agak luarbiasa. Paling terakhir volume bertukar tangan mcm nie berlaku dlm bulan April lepas.
Kali nie, klu x silap, klu GCB start bull run dia... kokak2 1 bulan lebih jugak.. Klu next quarter report start tunjuk GCB investment mula membuahkan hasil, mmg GCB start trading at higher level..
CFA semua rata2 recommend BUY
Bursa ada appoint broker jd apa kita panggil sbg MM, (Market maker). MM nie ditugaskan memastikan dagangan saham kekal liquid. Dlm kes nie dulu, MM pressure GCB sampai satu harga ramai masuk membeli semula. Ada masa dia, MM akan buat seolah2 saham nampak naik. Ramai yg ikut. Bila saham berhenti naik, MM akan pastikan saham kelihatan nak jatuh. Ramai panik. Ada yg ambil untung. Ada yg terpedaya cut-losses. MM collect pd masa nie dan collection yg MM dpt dijadikan modal utk kerja dia keesokan harinya.
Bila ada fund besar masuk beli, sepanjang hari dan seterusnya, MM cuba halang saham dari naik. Klu market beli jugak, time mcm tu kita panggil bulls run.
There is no guarantee when you buy at any time, you will make money.
MM mmg boleh beli saham yg dia letak utk dijual... Maksudnya, MM bleh beli saham sendiri. MM boleh jual saham yg dia sendiri nak beli. Maksudnya, MM jual dan beli saham sendiri.
Bro.. whenever I have the same feelings that you are having, it means its the right time to buy. And very often, things will turn around for the better. Its a matter of time. Dont be too emotional. Think. If you sell now, you will definite loose money. If you use this time, to find ways how to turn things around, you will might make some money. The most important thing of all, we learn, we adapt and we improvise. To those who have been in the market for a long time know that this is true.
We deal with risks every day. Its about how we minimise those risks.