Can Exports Forge a Stronger Future for Mycron?

Mycron operates in both the midstream and downstream segments of the steel value chain, supplying Cold Rolled Coil (CRC) products, steel tubes, and related steel items to domestic and international markets.

Over the past six years, CRC has consistently contributed the largest share of revenue but has shown greater earnings volatility. In contrast, the steel tube segment has provided more stable profitability, particularly during downturns in the CRC business.

The Group was profitable in only three of the past six years, with earnings closely tied to favourable pricing and volume dynamics:

• In 2021 and 2022, profits peaked alongside the global steel price cycle, driven by elevated selling prices and strong gross margins.

• In 2024, despite gross margins being about half of those in 2021–2022, profit rebounded due to a 50% surge in sales - largely from export-driven growth in CRC. Mycron capitalised on trade disruptions, particularly benefiting from CPTPP market access as competitors like China and Vietnam faced tariff barriers.

If Mycron sustains its export momentum, especially in CRC, its performance in the next steel price cycle could surpass that of the last, enhancing its turnaround prospects.

If you want to understand more about the impact of the steel price on other Bursa flat steel companies, join me this at this Thursday podcast

Date: 22 May 2025 (Thu)
Time: 8:30pm
Link: https://www.facebook.com/xifu.my

Steel counter is the next theme to goreng.
Upcoming Construction Tender Jobs that have been delayed for awarding and expected to be announced, inclusive of existing contracts...
- MRT3
- LRT
- ECRL
- Penang Mega Infra
- Subang Airport
- Mega Flood Projects
- Johor Catalyst, RTS & HSR
- Pan Borneo
- Indonesia new capital in Nusantara, Kalimantan

钢铁领域 – 本地1月行情

如无意外，政府将陆续推动多项庞大的基建发展工程。这些大型项目包括:
> 东海岸铁路ECRL - RM55b
> 马新高铁 HSR – RM50-60b
> 捷运2号线MRT2 – RM32b
> 泛婆罗洲大道Pan Borneo Highway – RM16b
> 轻快铁3号线 LRT3 – RM9b
> 金马士- 新山电动双轨火车 – RM8b
> 大型城镇发展计划，如敦拉萨国际贸易中心TRX、KL118和其他项目

根据统计，上市建筑承包商在去年获得RM56b的合约，但是今年至今却只获RM15b。随着以上项目即将陆续开跑，投行预计今年底可达RM40b。

目前，大马最大型的ECRL项目在关丹Gebeng已经开始动工，由中国公司一手承包。Gebeng工业区已经建设一家非常庞大的中马合资钢铁厂Alliance Steel，主要用于应付ECRL的钢铁需求。由于ECRL项目非常大型，本专页相信本地钢铁厂也会受惠其中。

以上的大型项目将进一步推高钢铁建材的需求，如钢铁、水泥和铝。根据观察，虽然钢筋价格在近几个月走高，但是钢铁需求却未跟上。个人认为之前的上涨主要归功于中国减产、环保以及安检的措施。

值得一提，中国8月钢铁产量按年增长8.7%，创下历史新高。若钢铁价格要维持在高位，产能过剩的问题必须要解决，或者钢铁需求进一步增长。中国长钢期货在近期连续多天下滑，从每吨4,050元左右跌至目前的每吨3,900元。然而，这一现象并未影响大马的长钢价格。

根据资料，截至9/21，16-32cm 长钢价格如下:
> Chuan Huat (Ann Joo Steel) - 每吨RM2,615
> Southern Steel – 每吨RM2,650
> Amsteel (Lion Industries) – 每吨RM2,620

由于Annjoo的生产成本最低，它有能力以更低的价位争夺市场份额。然而，今天的平均长钢销售价已下滑至每吨RM2,550左右。本专页认为本地的长钢行情依然还在。一旦这些基建项目正式推出后，钢铁股未来的业绩将更出色。

中国方面，政府在前天召集区域内钢铁企业开会。会议上确定各钢厂高炉限产50%，执行日期为今年10月至明年3月。因此，钢铁价格接下来预计可继续维持在高位。

另一方面，中国一带一路建设项目可能导致钢铁需求增加高达150m吨，其中80%将用于建筑结构和钢筋混凝土。这计划历时10年，相当于每年增加15m吨钢铁需求，也就是说一带一路国家的钢铁需求会增长3-4%。

值得一提，在一带一路沿线的68个国家中，只有10个国家为钢铁净出口国，其余国家均在某种程度上依赖钢铁进口，其中超过20个国家根本没有任何炼钢产能。那么，你们认为大马四大长钢Annjoo、Ssteel、Masteel和Lionind会受益吗？

Mycron and melewar also benefits!

纯属分享！