Lo Thiam Soon's comment on GENTING. All Comments

Lo Thiam Soon
7 Like · Reply
加赌博税?..........
Eddy Khoo
every year played such same sentiment. higher tax.
1 Like · 1 week · translate
cheng
lets wait for Friday to clear the air. Revisit the following week.
2 Like · 1 week · translate
cheng
the expectation of another interest rate cut in US in Oct is building up; >90%
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Vin Vin
Msia Gaming tax already highest in Asia .. if still increase...really GG...
1 Like · 1 week · translate
cheng
Indeed, Vin. Hence, the investment in Singapore makes sense as it is lower. Not expecting much capex in Malaysia other than sustaining :(
1 Like · 1 week · translate
Vin Vin
Recently gens share price drop alot. Donno what happened
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cheng
yeah, i noticed that too. Not sure whether it has anything to do with the recent Singapore's GRA report - stated that the number of citizens and permanent residents who visited casinos in 2024 totalled 94,000. That’s a decrease of 5.3 per cent year-over-year.
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Vin Vin
gens from 0.775 drop to 0.715...hope the qe don't get worst
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cheng
indeed, Vin. Supply outpaced demand, selling pressure is high
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Kwong Mingkwei
Singapore investors more intelligent …..
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Daniel LIM
Sands Singapore taking away shrinking overall market share due to weak global economies away from GenS.
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cheng
Sands has a bit of location advantage indeed.
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Daniel LIM
Definitely. Management strategies important too.
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cheng
Ouch. ermm. Mgmt strategies for Genting group - no comments. Ideally, such a big conglomerate should at least be disciplined in capital allocation and increasing the value of business over time; value creation if you will.
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Daniel LIM
Exactly. Capital allocation for value creation absolutely important.
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Daniel LIM
If exclude GenS SGD$10m cash earmarked solely for RWS developments as mandatory condition for licence renewal, Company no longer cash rich but have high borrowings position. Where to find the $ to fund US bid once successful next year ?
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cheng
Another sticky topic, Daniel :) not much options to raise cash - bonds issuance, rights issue/pp, sell assets and probably consolidate US assets/ops and listing in US.
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cheng
Alcohol and tobacco hit with higher excise duties and no additional levies/duties for gaming in budget 2026. That's a relief. Next hurdle - recovery progress for GenS and RWLV.
1 Like · 6 days · translate
Daniel LIM
Huge relief. Additional gaming levies/duties will be disastrous for Genting at this juncture. GenS SGD$10 billion developments need to increase market share and generate additional earnings ASAP since SGD$ weakening significantly vs RM.
1 Like · 5 days · translate
cheng
Let's wait for the upcoming Q3 results and we will know whether the pace of recovery continues to pick up or to have stalled.
1 Like · 5 days · translate
Vin Vin
hope gens EBITDA can stand above 300m
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cheng
300m sgd right? I am hoping to see that as early as Q4FY25 results
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Vin Vin
yeah...still remember during 2023...gens every qe EBITDA can hit above 300m sgd...even RWLV qe look bad ..but gent qe still sustain above 300m myr ++
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cheng
It's currently hovering close to myr 800mil ebitda for GenS. The Laurus launched in Oct, so, realistically Q4 results is a better measure of its recovery. Not expecting much from Q3 apart from seasonally higher tourists arrivals into Singapore in Jul and Aug.
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cheng
ooh boy. suspension for announcement. high chance fund raising?
1 Like · 3 days · translate
Vin Vin
right issue u mean ?
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cheng
can be rights issue or private placement for fund raising.
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Chee Chai Sian
RI,PP 不需要停牌的
2 Like · 3 days · translate
cheng
hopefully its not fund raising, chee chai sian.
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cheng
3.0 Situations which may warrant suspension
3.1 The Exchange may approve a listed issuer’s request for suspension where -
(a) the listed issuer requires time to prepare and release an announcement relating to a
material transaction, such as -
(i) a very substantial transaction as defined in Chapter 10 of the Listing
Requirements;
(ii) a significant change in the business direction or policy of a listed corporation;
or(iii) any other corporate exercise which the Exchange considers to be material;
(b) the listed issuer intends to -
(i) make a material announcement, including one that falls within paragraph 3.2
below (“Very Material Announcement”); or
(ii) hold a press conference to make a Very Material Announcement,
before the close of trading; or
(c) any other reason which, in the opinion of the Exchange, justifies a suspension.
3.2 Without limiting the above, an announcement relating to any of the following matters will be
regarded as a Very Material Announcement:
(a) an interim financial report;
(b) a bonus issue or fund raising exercise;
(c) a transaction as defined under paragraph 10.02(l) of the Listing Requirements, where the percentage ratio calculated in accordance with Chapter 10 of the Listing Requirements is 25% or more;
(d) a notice of take-over being served on a listed issuer which the public has no prior
knowledge of; or
(e) any other corporate exercise.
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2 Like · 3 days · translate
Eddy Khoo
privatization since now genting so cheap? or selling some assets or JV. possibly related to US biz. there s no significant development in other regions.
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Daniel LIM
Maybe funds raising via private placement etc. due to Empire & RWLV but unlikely to be rights issue since substantial shareholders need to come out with lots of $ themselves. Borrowings via banks already very high at ~ RM40 billion.
1 Like · 3 days · translate
cheng
unlikely privatization given the existing leverage. I guessed the only thing we can do right now is to ask the question of - will you subscribe to it if it is rights issue? be prepared mentally.
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Daniel LIM
Precisely. Sensitive period to do rights issue due to previous Empire Inc. corporate exercise & RPT.
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Chee Chai Sian
last week genting just bought share for genm..almost trigger mgo..
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Hoong Lim
genm selling assets, that's all.
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cheng
Will be nice if GenM is selling all of its US assets except RWNYC.
2 Like · 3 days · translate
Eddy Khoo
won't sell those US biz..more on their assets or lands. the one most probably would be diversified is the Birmini biz but mostly sell at a loss.
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cheng
Bimini resorts, Hudson Valley, Catskills have to go. There is no chance of revival for Hudson Valley and Catskills as both bound to cannibalize each other's footfall traffic; 45 mins apart if you will.
1 Like · 3 days · translate
cheng
Anyway, another rate cut is expected in two weeks time by the US Fed. Trump is working hard to "enable" the economics data to support for more cuts. Lol, no pun intended.
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cheng
I am not sure whether its a good idea to sell land for GenM. GenM's credit ratings is not good (mainly due to Empire Resorts) and it will be tough to secure loans without pledging collaterals. Genting's credit ratings is better than GenM. We will have to wait until market closing for the announcement perhaps.
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2 Like · 3 days · translate
cheng
Lol, privatization of GenM up to including delisting of GenM. CONDITIONAL VOLUNTARY TAKE-OVER OFFER BY GENT TO ACQUIRE ALL THE REMAINING ORDINARY SHARES IN GENTING MALAYSIA BERHAD (EXCLUDING TREASURY SHARES) NOT ALREADY HELD BY GENT FOR A CASH OFFER PRICE OF RM2.35 PER OFFER SHARE (“OFFER”).
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3 Like · 3 days · translate
kokkeng88 kokkeng88
来炒吧!2.35肯定收购不成功的。慢慢提高收购价把股价炒高就有
3 Like · 3 days · translate
cheng
yup. its a big disadvantage for GenM minority shareholders. 2.35 per share, fainted. Good for Genting shareholders though :)
2 Like · 3 days · translate
cheng
HODL Gent shares for possible next step after takeover of GenM :)
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Eddy Khoo
NTA 2.07 for GenM. in principle, they are offering higher takeover price. but in terms of future valuation and potential, not included in the pricing. for those who hold genm shares for years, they been wiped out by such low takeover price.
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Daniel LIM
No comment ?
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Gemini
42b debt, 22b cash, now need pay 6.7b to privatise. Genting probably facing cash flow later. Their bond rate is 6% above, if pay dividen just 4% max, don't know why they want privatise. Though genm is good business but the cash flow really become problem later, considering their bond rate is higher than dividen paid to shareholder. GenM shareholder untung, totally bailed out of this sinking ship (if buy cheaper than RM2.35)
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cheng
think further, Gemini :) LKT is a businessman. What could possibly happen after in control of all the assets under Genting Berhad? Is there a way to make money from these US assets?
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Gemini
too far for me to think further. unable to reach
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cheng
Indeed, Eddy. probably closer to 3.0 for those holding for years assuming they have been avg down.
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cheng
lets just wait and observe the process, Gemini.
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Daniel LIM
Gearing and cashflows risks for Genting thereafter. GenM shareholders with high average holding cost will be fuming after the previous Empire RPT !
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cheng
Hold on to the gearing and cashflow risk for Genting first, daniel. The potential following step after privatization of GenM could unlock the value of Genting Berhad; if it happens.
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Eddy Khoo
acquired empire using GenM for years. now using Genting to acquire GenM. the question is what value would that brings?
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cheng
Genting has brought in a team of industry veterans into the board of RWLV. The BODs are capable of handling more than RWLV isnt it?
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cheng
How high will GenT go tomorrow? 15% or 30%?
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kokkeng88 kokkeng88
2.35 only..............
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cheng
That's GenM, kokkeng. GenT could be different.
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Fatty Bombom
Cheng,genting big chance go up one………….i still got 288,293,288,293,294…….but...g that day I sell all my 283 at 290………..genting need funding one,the boss will not private genting………..private company not easy to borrow big money from bank especially not esg company………..genting gogogo………..
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2 Like · 3 days · translate
cheng
Slowly, fatty bom. The next step after GenM privatization could be big, if it happens. Still have to manage it until then.
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Daniel LIM
Corporate exercise to prepare for the USD$ funding for RWNYC due to Genting’s better credit rating. Funding for all US operations are not going to be easy and expensive too since existing debt level already at 42b.
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cheng
Refer back to our discussion 5 days ago, Daniel :) it could be the next step after privatization of GenM.
1 Like · 2 days · translate
Daniel LIM
Definitely. A lot of “restructuring” and funds required for their overseas operations in the US. GenS facing a lot of headwinds too unless recent transformation (Weave, The Laurels, gaming market share, licence extension) starts to show positive results soon.
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Daniel LIM
My other concern is recent quarters/years dividends were funded via increased borrowings rather than real positive increases in earnings. Funding costs will start to increase significantly and global credit collapses will force risks rethink.
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cheng
Ermm. Not exactly true. You are not the first one to mention dividend paid from borrowings and it's understandable. The confusion probably came from seeing net income figure lower than dividend payout? If that's the case, that's not how it works.
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Daniel LIM
When previous GenM QRs in losses, attractive quarterly dividends continued to be paid out when earnings should be used to fund CAPEX, investments etc. Excess monies not required for CAPEX and investments should only then be paid out as dividends. It is always prudent to continue as a cash rich company and not to resort to high borrowings, unless absolutely necessary.
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cheng
ermm... capex particularly on US assets are not doing well thus far; high capex low returns. nothing much can be done for GenM shareholders. Some if not all, may sell GenM and convert to Gent while some will never touch Genting group's stocks again.
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Daniel LIM
GenM shareholders with high average cost will need to convert to Genting. However, upon recovery, like you said, some will never touch Genting group stocks again as US assets are not doing well. Let’s see Institutional Funds reaction from Vanguard etc.
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Love Pets
你們這些散戶,之前不是一直乾雲頂?現在貴價跟你們買,你們不賣?還説阿泰老千,看樣子這些散播謠言的更老千。
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Daniel LIM
GenM definitely a cash cow prior to the acquisition of Empire Inc. etc. Funding and CAPEX for US assets might not have adequate returns due to the high level of challenging competition for gaming market share outside Malaysia.
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cheng
Look forward to the privatization exercise particularly details of the following: Source of funding - The Total Cash Consideration will be fully satisfied via a combination of debt financing of up to approximately RM6.3 billion and internally generated funds.
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Daniel LIM
MGM YONKERS WITHDRAWS COMMERCIAL CASINO LICENSE APPLICATION IN NEW YORK
1 Like · Yesterday · translate
Daniel LIM
No longer competitive based on economic assumptions on competitive landscape and licensing conditions. CAPEX and investment in US assets and NY casino licence might not have adequate returns vs risks.
1 Like · Yesterday · translate
Eddy Khoo
that would mean higher chance for Genting to secure license in NY but facing higher risk and competition as highlighted by MGM. Genting has an advantage as it already operating a partial casino and easier to upgrade to full fledge casino within 6 months.
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1 Like · Yesterday · translate
cheng
Congrats everyone. Lets enjoy the privatization ride first :) As for the NYC casino bid, LVS dropped out from the bid too. The biggest risk is the online gaming legislation for NY; legislator pushing hard for this.
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林明德
Geng Genm masuk melambung tinggi
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Tiong C.B.
c4c liak....
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cheng
Dont chase if you are not prepared to hold for longer term and rebalancing to lower your avg to 3.00/lower, tiong.
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cheng
Its been a long time since seeing a 10% move for Gent :) Congrats to all long term shareholders. Feels like a short squeeze :)
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Daniel LIM
Portfolio rebalancing.
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cheng
some will switch over to Gent while some will not. It will be the same for funds/institutions :p Approx 3mil volume total shorts yesterday. Lets see what is the net short positions over the next few days :)
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cheng
Thank you, Mr. Market. Its been an intense one year plus of investment and I dont have the nerve of steel. I wished everyone make a lot of returns from Gent.
1 Like · Yesterday · translate
Fatty Bombom
Cheng,break out kaw kaw,today got chance close gap 366…….gogogo...
2 Like · Yesterday · translate
cheng
I have sold out my position to Mr. Market, FB. No more position for Gent. I will cheer for you guys :)
2 Like · Yesterday · translate
Fatty Bombom
I also take profit some…………but still hold a lot………..gogogo
2 Like · Yesterday · translate
cheng
congrats, fb. sounds good as long as you have the nerve of steel :) You may want to keep an eye on what happens after GenM privatization. May take a year or two though and you will have to manage it until then :)
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Eddy Khoo
if you were in the market back when Getting secured the Singapore casino license, you would know that appreciation of 1.50-2.00 is normal. that was more than 15 years ago. with current value, easily 2.50-3.00 when the news is out.
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Daniel LIM
Well done, Cheng. Good luck to the rest with Genting group shares. Risks vs Rewards.
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Daniel LIM
All IN on US assets investments. Ride with it for those that have the guts and higher risks tolerance. Oldies like me happy with calculated risks returns.
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