Yi Hong's comment on SUPERMX. All Comments

Yi Hong
6 Like · Reply
<My 2 cents> Kindly ignore if you think I'm bullshitting haha~

Let's recall from start of pandemic until now (even when vaccination rollout last year), IB in the majority is "buy call" on gloves and maintain "overweight" in the glove segment. <Why?> If by looking at share price now, everyone should know they're disposing their shares/RSS after "buy call" analyst report is published in social media. <Confirm?> You may find any analyst report and backdate the share price movement few days, it will up a bit then drop, they're the market maker, no matter is it local or foreign IB.

<Now>Almost all latest IB changed to "sell call" or "underweight" in the glove segment. Either IB didn't have stake in gloves or they're starting accumulating, which one do you think has a greater probability? <Technical Analysis> It is showing a clear divergence (RSI & MACD) which means accumulating is in progress. May refer Carepls also.

Undoubtedly, too many different aspects need to be taken into account when buying gloves shares, but one thing for sure will never change, money market is always ruled by IB/fund institutions, but who will write comments & what's their motive behind?
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khorpf
Very good comment. If you are ib followers,you will never make money in share market. An investor need to buy before IB buying and then sell to IB later. Then only investor will make money.
1 Like · 3 years · translate
Yi Hong
Exactly Chern or do the opposite of what IB is calling haha
1 Like · 3 years · translate
khorpf
Both of us will definitely make from glove shares in the long term.
1 Like · 3 years · translate
Jason Tan
Buy buy buy without doubt..
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Chee shung Khoo
this winter influenza and covid19 will make situation complex
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Chee shung Khoo
beaten down stocks u dont buy, go to buy genetec type stock? genetec ev thingy so what? after up then tell the whole world is doing ev. u dare to buy they dare to release to u
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khorpf
Buying a profitable company will never go wrong. Beside plantation company,I don't see any listed co worth buying other than glove company.
2 Like · 3 years · translate
Chee shung Khoo
correction: influenza doesnt affect glove, because if a person is infected with influenza, he/she only needs to rest at home. depending on person too, doctor prescripted pill may not help....
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Chee shung Khoo
5-12year old vaccine data looks good. if vaccination needs glove, then demand is still there.
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Chee shung Khoo
mask is dead for sure. i use a mask/week. not to say i kiamsiap. holland even doesnt k if u wear or no wear mask at museum, hotel (only public transportation needs to wear mask)
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x game
Does any one change glove when give u vaccine? Don’t try to console yourself.
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Chee shung Khoo
i recall laat sunday my god dad gave me influenza jab, without glove. so no glove needed for vaccination in certain area....
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Chee shung Khoo
who said vaccine must wear glove. dont cheat yourself
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Yi Hong
ASP drop - Small/New player kena kicked out, demand & supply back to normal, big/existing player back to 10-20% growth per annum

ASP Rise - Everybody knows only Covid/New virus strain. Big/Existing player advantage over pricing & costing.

in short, rise or drop in ASP big/existing player is the winner (adventa,rubberex,hlt,carepls,big 4).

But market now has a big question mark, how far will it drop in ASP? 20? 30?
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Like · 3 years · translate
Jyh Han Tye
My 2 cents, asp may not drop back to pre-covid but margin maybe worse than pre-covid for this 1-2 years in order for existing player to squeeze out new player so glove need longer time to rebound
1 Like · 3 years · translate
yutaka tong
no point to hold downtrend counter.....won't able to see like last year rally anymore...qr result downtrend
1 Like · 3 years · translate
Yi Hong
Jyh is not happening in Kossan qr result. I get your point but even during FMCO or whatever, some market share shift to China also, Kossan margin just drop slightly due to sales order can't be fullfill because of FMCO. So although revenue & net profit drop (FMCO), but margin not drop faster than expected.

For Supermax, I believe current qr margin confirm will squeeze due to additional cost for CBP issues.
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1 Like · 3 years · translate
x game
Exactly, those link vaccination with glove is a joke.
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Chee shung Khoo
还是jyh的反馈中庸。i like it
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Chee shung Khoo
my av is not high. within rebound range (if it happens)
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Chee shung Khoo
solar factory glove, quality is less than semiconductor factory glove
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Chee shung Khoo
but last year during 恐慌疫情period, western people went out with glove wearing (in fear of touching the virus strain)... this drove the price sky high. i knew this year only
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Chee shung Khoo
now even mask is not much used, except at public transportation....
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Chee shung Khoo
one guy switched between mask and glove in his comment. i disagree to his view....glove value buy may b over...i only hope for small rebound
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Chee shung Khoo
mask is not glove.glove is not mask.glove is used in hospitals and factories. what drives glove usage? these 2 areas
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Chee shung Khoo
hmm,up 1cent finally....;)
Like · 3 years · translate
Chee shung Khoo
up 1cent continuously for some months...i will wait ;)
Like · 3 years · translate
Yi Hong
Undeniable fact that only Covid cases surged will help Supermax (notably) to fill the gap due to CBP issues (can refer Top Glove in start of Apr'21 announcement, exactly the same with Supermax.

But, there is a major difference of divergence (technical analysis) between now and Mar-Apr'21. In Mar-Apr'21, not only share price is technically divergence with RSI & Macd, but also share price is divergence with global covid cases.
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Like · 3 years · translate
Chee shung Khoo
hospitalization will aid glov. now vaccine is effectiv against current mutated virus
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Chee shung Khoo
share buy back should stabilise the ship
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Yi Hong
Uncertainty puts Gloves stock under oversold position. Now windfall/prosperous tax is crystal clear, just waiting for ASP to stabilize then gloves stocks will up back.
Like · 3 years · translate